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^ my math was fail haha. for



^ my math was fail haha. for some reason i was going with 16 fighters and not 8….no clue what i was thinking. anyhow you forget the step that cuts your numbers in 4th because fedor has a 1 in 4 chance of making the finals. so i guess it’s more like 12.5% but i think my point is still valid.

also it’s easy to assume that something will happen when the numbers overwhelming support that it will. 92% is a pretty big number. more math for you if there is a 1 in 10 chance that an overeem fight goes the distance (and that’s being generous) then there is a 1 in 20 chance that two of his fights do so in a row (which has never happened before) so i’m fairly confident in my 95% assumption as opposed to your 5% assumption.

You’re the one who always dumps on people for throwing out random opinions with no facts to back it up. I seem to remember several VERY long posts about it in a (many) previous thread(s). take your own advice homie