It’s the illustrious return of Jackal Gambling, ladies and germs. Being on probation has reacquainted me with the familiar calculation, breath holding and massive flushing of my kidneys (wait, what?) that accompanied my halcyon poker days. If you’re like me and your cash flow only goes one way, it’s tough to justify wagering money on damn near anything – but if you’re one of the blessed Jackals with a source of income that doesn’t involve college debt, then may we humbly beseech (read: beg) you to sign up, via this link or this one or even this one, with BetUS. Friendly interface, accessible customer service and no deposit required. The only reason not to is because you hate my face, but it’s Ryan’s face that is invariably hated by that hatred. So click.
On to the card!
Humanity’s capacity to overcome (+500) v Detroit (-450) – Not worth betting. Detroit in a walk.
Nik Lentz (+165) v Tyson Griffin (-230) – Tyson has fallen on some rough times lately. After being surprisingly dominated by Evan Dunham, he followed up being KTFO by Takanori Gomi with what is probably the single funniest protest of a stoppage that I’ve ever seen. Despite being on a two fight losing streak, we’re talking about a guy with losses to Gomi, Dunham, Sherk and Edgar at LW. Not too shabby – plus, while I will defend Nik’s right to hump his way to whatever victory he can, a) it’s not going to work here and b) his last fight was a turd. Griffin could make a nice parlay addition.
TJ O’Brien (+135) v Paul Kelly (-165) – Gotta come clean here: not as boned up on this season of TUF as I could be. When in doubt, use the Wiki; in prelim fights, if one fighter has a Wikipedia page and the other does not, the “known” fighter probably wins 85% of those scraps (kudos to Mike Fagan at BE for this formulation). Wikiing (is that a word?) O’Brien takes you directly to the TUF page. Kelly has his own page. Advantage Kelly, and at pretty decent odds to boot.
Mike Lullo (+375) v Edson Barboza (-550) – Barboza (real name Edson Mendes Jr., but with a nickname like “the Nova Friburgo Phenomenon”, who really gives a shit?) is coming in undefeated and super hyped, with only one fight making it into the second round. Mike Lullo doesn’t have a Wikipedia page and is a late replacement for Darren Elkins. Haven’t seen either one, ever, so can’t recommend a play here.
Dennis Hallman (+135) v Karo Parysian (-165) – Ultimately, I can’t understand how Karo is a favorite here. Sure, the Heat has shown both great promise and the ability to clearly job fighters out of decisions (thank Christ Stun Gun got that abomination taken off of his record), but we’re talking about a guy that almost wilted under the bright lights of Impact FC, going as far as insisting his fight be moved up the card so he could kill the butterflies sooner. There are people in this world that I am rooting for and would not bet on. Karo’s one of them.
Tomorrow (or later today) – the Spike prelims and the main card.