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My thoughts on other people’s predictions

I’m low on creative juices today so I thought I’d take a look at Steve Seivert’s list of predictions for 2008 and give my thoughts on them:

Henderson ends Silva’s title reign : While I agree that this is probably the most competitive opponent Silva has faced, I just don’t see Henderson going in with the firepower to defeat Anderson Silva. A judge’s decision is a possibility, but I’d say it’s more likely that Hendo is dumb enough to try and trade with Silva like he did with Wanderlei. From there it’ll be interesting to see how his wrestling holds up with his brain-egg scrambled.

Couture remains sidelined : Yeah, I laugh at anyone who thinks Couture is getting out of his contract easy. The UFC is gearing up to go to war in the courts and while it’s 50/50 on who’ll win, I don’t see anything being resolved until 2009 at the earliest. Of course, there’s a small chance Couture will work things out with the UFC … if Fedor somehow drops a win against Pedro Rizzo in the spring, perhaps a bout with Big Nog would sound like a better way for Randy to cement his legacy.

HDNet Fights becomes No. 2 : Maybe in 2009 or 2010, but not any time soon. The channel simply doesn’t have the exposure and HDNet Fights is still in a major development phase of it’s existance. EliteXC is already throwing bigger and better shows, and considering the cross promotion that went on in Japan over New Years, who knows how HERO’s will do in 2008.

Hughes shuts it down : Steve says he thinks Matt Hughes has one more fight in him, most likely against Matt Serra. I think that the drive to compete will keep Matt Hughes in the UFC for at least a few more slow-paced years against specific hand-picked opponents. It would be really nice if Hughes moved up a class and went after the middleweight strap, but I don’t think he’s delusional enough to think he could pull it off.

WEC takes show on the road : Yeah, they’ve already said they’re going to do this. Too bad they have no plans of straying far from the west coast. Fuck you, California!

Penn makes history : Steve thinks Penn’s going to win the LW strap, defend against Sherk, and then take on GSP at WW. I speculated in the past that BJ Penn only agreed to coach TUF and return to lightweight if he was promised a shot at the welterweight belt too, but now I think that Zuffa would be INSANE to agree to that. Besides, by the time Penn is done with Sherk, the LW division will have another 2 or 3 contenders waiting for their turn.

Griffin upsets Jackson to win UFC LHW title : Will Rampage suffer the same fate as Chuck Liddell? Fame is a fucked up thing, and it’s hard to stay motivated and hungry when you’re already at the top. Would people doubt Rampage’s determination if he wasn’t always joking around? Probably not as much … but things are what they are. Rampage has a rep as a joker and a party animal. Forrest has a reputation for living in the gym. I’m not gonna say it’s a shoe in, but there’s definately a good chance this could happen.

Fedor loses: Steve thinks that a case of skill rust contracted from fighting cans will cause Fedor to drop the first fight against top tier talent, namely Josh Barnett. I’d say M-1 Global doesn’t seem to be in any rush to book that particular fight, and past Josh there’s no one else in free agency that’ll put up a real fight. Look for Fedor to fight Pedro Rizzo, Ben Rothwell, and another Japanese freakshow for December 31st 2008. And then in 2009, no one will bother to put him in their list of predictions because no one will give a shit about him any more.

  • Tommy

    No way Forrest beats Rampage, just not gonna happen.

  • Jeremy (not that Jeremy)

    WEC taking it’s show on the road to California is kind of like saying that Indy racing is taking it’s show on the road when it runs in Indianapolis.

    I think it’s possible that Couture may fight first and then go to court later. It’s unlikely that that show would be in the US, and it could be really hard to put an injunction that would stick on him overseas.

  • Jeremy (not that Jeremy)

    Yeah, probably not, but it’s going to be a great fight. Hendo vs Silva should be great too, and I hope it goes more than two rounds.

  • Vee

    Griffin can upset Rampage. I have no reason to agree other than anything can happen, you always have a puncher’s chance or the possibility of a submission. Outside of his loss to Jardin, Griffin has proved to be quite durable. Cuts and nasty gashes doesn’t seem to deter him either.

    Henderson beating Silva by TKO?!? That would be really interesting to see but I doubt that will occur in March. Henderson by ground and pound or submission, possible.

    Prediction: Hughes decides to move up to 185 and challenge Silva or Henderson. I wish.

  • jaydog

    Couture fightig Big Nog doesn’t “cement his legacy” one bit. The only way Randy is going to prove that he’s the best is to beat Fedor (in the ring) and Dana White (in court or by pushing him to co-promote). Neither of these scenarios may come to fruition, so the prediction has a pretty good chance of being correct.

    Also, Rampage has become too conservative and disciplined in the cage to fight on Griffin’s terms. Rampage stays champ throughout 2008, although he could lose a decision to Machida in December (another prediction).

  • Swedish guy

    Fuck I get angry just reading Sherk’s goddamn name. It annoys the hell out of me that he’s given a title shot as a little present for being a cheating steroid using motherfucker. FUCK HIM.

  • Big D D

    “And then in 2009, no one will bother to put him in their list of predictions because no one will give a shit about him any more.”

    Doubt this will happen… he has been fighting cans for a good minute and people still hug his nuts. Only time will tell!

  • Keith

    Jaydog why would Randy have to beat Fedor in the ring? If he beats him in the cage it is still a win. I have a hard time beliving that these guys lose or win fights based on fighting in a cage or a ring.

  • Nachtfalter

    “Look for Fedor to fight Pedro Rizzo, Ben Rothwell, and another Japanese freakshow”

    Woah, those are heavyweights. Me, I’m expecting Fedor vs. Gomi…

  • márcio

    Henderson ends Silva’s title reign : Yep, this is probably right, Henderson has way more tools than Silva that has been destroying opponents with only his striking ability. I can’t see him doing that to Henderson. I’m going with Henderson as the next middleweight champion.

    Couture remains sidelined : I’m hoping that Couture can escape his contract. The man has help build the UFC now are they gonna keep him from having the fight that he most wants? Fucking yuppie motherfuckers!

    HDNet Fights becomes No. 2 : I think they’ll easily be number two in the next year. They have made all the right connections and are very willing to crosspromote, they only need to sign 2 or 3 top fighters and are well on their way.

    Hughes shuts it down : After he destroys Serra.

    WEC takes show on the road : Don’t care.

    Penn makes history : Would love to see him fight GSP again. But I think he can become a champion as a LH for a very long time. So I can’t see that happen.

    Griffin upsets Jackson to win UFC LHW title : No fucking way.

    Fedor loses: He will not loose. The only fighter that I can see beat Fedor is Randy and I would still pick Fedor to win. Who else can the UFC offer that would be a real chalenge?
    As for no one giving a shit about him any more, when Nogueira submits Sylvia and goes on to dominate the UFC for a long time, we’ll see about that.

  • Xavier

    It’s all on Pedro Rizzo. If he takes out Fedor, much of these predictions become moot. Hong Man failed us, but Pedro is like Rocky, baby, he’s going to train hard in the Russian woods and take down this Drago motherfucker!

    Fedor needs to kill Rizzo’s best friend or something, plz.

  • Jeremy (not that Jeremy)

    Swedish guy, he’s kind of already got the title. They want someone else to have it, and the commission won’t strip him, so someone has to fight him.

  • Jemaleddin

    Dear Pride fanboys:

    Hendo doesn’t stand a chance against Silva.

    The rest of the world that has been paying attention to the fucking fight world, you fucking near-sighted fucks.

    p.s. BJ better hope that Serra beats GSP if he wants a shot at the title.

  • Swedish guy

    Jeremy, no he doesn’t? Perhaps in Dana’s eyes he does but as far as I remember, he did get stripped and the bout in Newcastle is for the belt, so he shouldn’t necessarily be in line for an immediate title shot.

  • Autoguy

    #10marcio Tim Sylvia will knock Fedor the fuck out…. I can’t wait till Randy “the crybaby” Couture gets out of the picture and some real heavywieghts knock his flabby ass out.

  • márcio

    15 Autoguy

    hahaha… funny shit! sylvia knocking out fedor??? that’s awsome dude you’re funny! and randy is a crybaby, right, “real fight fans” like yourself always go with the suits. fuck the fighters, dana white is in every TUF season, so you know, he’s way cooler.

  • MacDaddy

    I think Sean Sherk should have to fight and beat Anderson Silva before they let him back into the UFC, just so we could watch Silva’s knees slamming into his face again and again. Last time Silva was beating the skin off Rich Franklin’s face, I couldn’t help thinking “Rich is too nice to deserve this… there has to be somebody who deserves this” and there is! Sean Sherk deserves it!