I’m low on creative juices today so I thought I’d take a look at Steve Seivert’s list of predictions for 2008 and give my thoughts on them:
Henderson ends Silva’s title reign : While I agree that this is probably the most competitive opponent Silva has faced, I just don’t see Henderson going in with the firepower to defeat Anderson Silva. A judge’s decision is a possibility, but I’d say it’s more likely that Hendo is dumb enough to try and trade with Silva like he did with Wanderlei. From there it’ll be interesting to see how his wrestling holds up with his brain-egg scrambled.
Couture remains sidelined : Yeah, I laugh at anyone who thinks Couture is getting out of his contract easy. The UFC is gearing up to go to war in the courts and while it’s 50/50 on who’ll win, I don’t see anything being resolved until 2009 at the earliest. Of course, there’s a small chance Couture will work things out with the UFC … if Fedor somehow drops a win against Pedro Rizzo in the spring, perhaps a bout with Big Nog would sound like a better way for Randy to cement his legacy.
HDNet Fights becomes No. 2 : Maybe in 2009 or 2010, but not any time soon. The channel simply doesn’t have the exposure and HDNet Fights is still in a major development phase of it’s existance. EliteXC is already throwing bigger and better shows, and considering the cross promotion that went on in Japan over New Years, who knows how HERO’s will do in 2008.
Hughes shuts it down : Steve says he thinks Matt Hughes has one more fight in him, most likely against Matt Serra. I think that the drive to compete will keep Matt Hughes in the UFC for at least a few more slow-paced years against specific hand-picked opponents. It would be really nice if Hughes moved up a class and went after the middleweight strap, but I don’t think he’s delusional enough to think he could pull it off.
WEC takes show on the road : Yeah, they’ve already said they’re going to do this. Too bad they have no plans of straying far from the west coast. Fuck you, California!
Penn makes history : Steve thinks Penn’s going to win the LW strap, defend against Sherk, and then take on GSP at WW. I speculated in the past that BJ Penn only agreed to coach TUF and return to lightweight if he was promised a shot at the welterweight belt too, but now I think that Zuffa would be INSANE to agree to that. Besides, by the time Penn is done with Sherk, the LW division will have another 2 or 3 contenders waiting for their turn.
Griffin upsets Jackson to win UFC LHW title : Will Rampage suffer the same fate as Chuck Liddell? Fame is a fucked up thing, and it’s hard to stay motivated and hungry when you’re already at the top. Would people doubt Rampage’s determination if he wasn’t always joking around? Probably not as much … but things are what they are. Rampage has a rep as a joker and a party animal. Forrest has a reputation for living in the gym. I’m not gonna say it’s a shoe in, but there’s definately a good chance this could happen.
Fedor loses: Steve thinks that a case of skill rust contracted from fighting cans will cause Fedor to drop the first fight against top tier talent, namely Josh Barnett. I’d say M-1 Global doesn’t seem to be in any rush to book that particular fight, and past Josh there’s no one else in free agency that’ll put up a real fight. Look for Fedor to fight Pedro Rizzo, Ben Rothwell, and another Japanese freakshow for December 31st 2008. And then in 2009, no one will bother to put him in their list of predictions because no one will give a shit about him any more.