At long last the time has come. After a tie during UFC 84 left us without a loser in the Ipecac bet, we have regrouped and it’s time to settle this thing once for all. For those of you who weren’t aware, let me explain it to you again: Fightlinker.com and CagePotato.com are going to predict the outcome of all the fights on the UFC 85 card. Each fight is up to three points, with a point being scored for predicting the winning fighter, and an extra point awarded for picking the right round and/or finish. Which means each fight is worth up to three points.
The person with the lowest number of points at the end of the event has to upload a video of themselves drinking ipecac. What’s ipecac? Wikipedia describes it as “an emetic substance, used to induce vomiting”, but you should probably just watch these videos so you understand how awesome the stuff is.
Last time there was a tie, but this time we’ve put in extra conditions to avoid that. In the event of a tie, the person with the most perfect (3 point) fights wins. If both of us have the same number, then it’s the person who picked the most winning fighters. Again, if this is a tie then we BOTH lose and we BOTH have to drink ipecac.
Now that you understand the rules, you can see how the picks above line up. Go here to read Cagepotato’s poorly thought out reasonings for his picks. And here’s my explanations:
Matt Hughes Vs. Thiago Alves – Hughes / R3 / TKO
Thiago Alves might be the next best thing but Matt Hughes was the best thing for several years. Just because Georges St Pierre whupped him twice doesn’t mean he’s lost his edge. Simply put, people who think Hughes is on his way to retirement are retards. From all accounts he’s ramping up for another go at the belt. Sure, that’s just gonna end the same way it did last time, but Thiago Alves isn’t quite near GSP’s level, or Hughes’ for that matter.
Michael Bisping Vs. Jason Day – Day / R2 / Sub
I’m all over Jason Day’s nuts. After watching him destroy Alan Belcher, I’m convinced that there’s no way Michael Bisping is gonna be able to take him out. Bisping nearly got taken out by Elvis Sinosic for god’s sake. So I anticipate one round of tenderization and then Bisping getting subbed out on top in the second.
Marcus Davis Vs. Mike Swick – Swick / Dec
Davis has been on an upswing and Swick has been on a downswing. But Marcus hasn’t faced the kind of opponents Swick has, and has turned into a cocky motherfucker to boot. I’m expecting Swick to come in with a smart plan: put him on his back and don’t give Davis a chance to use his hands. This fight is simply too important for Swick to try and trade.
Nate Marquardt Vs. Thales Leites – Marquardt / R2 / Sub
Personally I think that Marquardt is a boring fighter, but that doesn’t mean I don’t think he can win. Leites is good but not that good. I expect him to be overly aggressive and pay the price for it.
Fabricio Werdum Vs. Brandon Vera – Werdum / R3 / Sub
Werdum has never been KO’d, and Vera ain’t gonna be able to sub him. That means the only way he’d win is via decision. Since he’s been apologizing for a boring ass fight since the day after his loss to Tim Sylvia, I’m thinking that’s not an option in his mind. I expect him to come out super aggressive, and pay the price when Werdum submits him from the bottom.
Jorge Rivera Vs. Martin Kampmann – Kampmann / R1 / Sub
Lots of fans say “You’re only as good as your last fight”. Those fans are stupid. Sure, Jorge pulled off a successful gong-n-dash against Kendall Grove, but that doesn’t make up for years of inconsistant performances. Kampmann is a beast.
Matt Wiman Vs. Thiago Tavares – Wiman / R2 / Sub
Everyone’s underestimating Wiman and overestimating Tavares. Tavares is the weakest of the UFC’s Thiago trio, and has a hard time finishing fights. Add the fact that he seemed completely stumped by Michihiro Omigawa (who Wiman pummelled for 3 rounds), and I think he’s just not that great. On the other hand, Matt Wiman keeps getting better. His jiu jitsu was wild and sloppy in his first two fights but in his third he put it all together and wasted his last opponent in three minutes.
Roan Carneiro Vs. Kevin Burns – Carneiro / R2 / Sub
Carneiro (or Mr Choke as I like to call him) gave Jon Fitch fits in the first round of their fight before Fitch’s corner told him to stop grappling with him. I expect Burns to end up on the ground and choked out.
Luiz Cane Vs. Jason Lambert – Cane / R1 / KO
Cane is supposed to be the next big thing at 205. Jason Lambert sucks. Cane knocks people out. Lambert gets knocked out. All of Cane’s fights end in the first round. Jason Lambert sucks.
Paul Taylor Vs. Jess Liaudin - Liaudin / R1 / Sub
Jess Liaudin is slick as shit on the ground and Paul Taylor looked like shit against Paul Kelly at UFC 80. That’s a recipe for a quick submission if I’ve ever seen one.
Antoni Hardonk Vs. Eddie Sanchez – Hardonk / R2 / Sub
Hardonk is a great kickboxer who prefers to use his terrible jiu jitsu. Eddie Sanchez is a self-styled brawler who can’t seem to knock anyone out. I’d say this is gonna be a sloppy fight that will end with Hardonk landing some kind of submission that will have Joe Rogan going “Wow, that’s not really how it’s supposed to be done, but I guess it worked.”